← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Gavin Ward, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Sheffield United win | 35% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Sheffield United +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Babajide David Akintola · Hull |
| 46' | 🟨 | Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United |
| 60' | 🟨 | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mark McGuinness · Sheffield United |
| 88' | 🟨 | John Egan · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 95.00 | 673.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1404.76 | 1453.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.02 | -39.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -1.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | — |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.43 |
| solidity v1 | -1.03 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 28.44 | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| travel km | — | 84.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.57 |