← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Samuel Allison, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Norwich win | 28% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Norwich +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 28' | 🟨 | George Campbell · West Brom |
| 66' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · West Brom |
| 70' | 🟨 | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 71' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ante Crnac · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 61.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1427.17 | 1473.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.20 | -15.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 67.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 88.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -0.94 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 221.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.05 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.99 |