← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 30, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Adam Herczeg, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Southampton win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Southampton +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United |
| 36' | 🟨 | Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United |
| 37' | 🟨 | Ryan Manning · Southampton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Japhet Tanganga · Sheffield United |
| 46' | 🟨 | Shea Charles · Southampton |
| 51' | ⚽ | Ross Stewart · Southampton |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ross Stewart · Southampton |
| 67' | 🟨 | Adam Armstrong · Southampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan Wood · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 669.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1468.21 | 1361.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.83 | -13.88 |
| eye test v1 | -1.32 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| league points | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.85 |
| solidity v1 | -0.54 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 274.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.65 | 1.50 |