← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 30, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: John Busby, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 38% | 2.51 |
| Bristol City win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bristol City +0 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Robert Atkinson · Bristol City |
| 45' | 🟨 | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
| 54' | 🟨 | Azor Matusiwa · Ipswich |
| 65' | 🟨 | Leif Davis · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sinclair Armstrong · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zak Vyner · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 91.00 | 1399.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1525.34 | 1441.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.60 | 15.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 67.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.95 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 27.39 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.96 |