← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Speedie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Oxford win | 30% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Sheffield United +0.25 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 65' | ⚽ | Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United |
| 75' | 🟨 | Harrison Burrows · Sheffield United |
| 84' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.11 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 57.00 | 666.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1558.22 | 1624.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.78 | -63.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -1.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | — |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -0.09 |
| solidity v1 | -0.24 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.17 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.67 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 0.67 |