← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Kitchen, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 67% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.52 |
| Portsmouth win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1.25 | 51% | 2.03 |
| Ipswich −1.25 | 49% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.85 |
| Under | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth |
| 9' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich |
| 33' | 🟨 | Luke Le Roux · Portsmouth |
| 41' | ⚽ | George Hirst · Ipswich |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 1396.00 | 1000.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1432.65 | 1461.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.38 | -27.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 14.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.55 |
| solidity v1 | 1.16 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.47 | — |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 207.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.29 |