← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 26, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephen Martin, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Leicester win | 28% | 3.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Leicester −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Hamza Choudhury · Leicester |
| 10' | ⚽ | Samuel Iling Junior · West Brom |
| 47' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Phillips · West Brom |
| 61' | 🟨 | Julián Carranza · Leicester |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jeremy Monga · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jannik Vestergaard · Leicester |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Nathaniel Phillips · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 56.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1474.18 | 1495.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.60 | 28.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.76 |
| league points | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.00 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | 0.13 |
| solidity v1 | 0.75 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 56.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 0.81 |