← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: John Brooks, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 59% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Oxford win | 18% | 5.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −1 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Bristol City −1 | 46% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 2.00 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Nik Prelec · Oxford |
| 45' | ⚽ | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
| 53' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 74' | 🟨 | Radek Vitek · Bristol City |
| 76' | 🟨 | Zak Vyner · Bristol City |
| 76' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
| 89' | 🟨 | Robert Dickie · Bristol City |
| 90' | ⚽ | Greg Leigh · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days |
| 82.00 |
| 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1547.91 | 1435.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.82 | -21.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.96 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.18 |