← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Webb, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Wrexham win | 27% | 3.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.25 | 54% | 1.88 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 46% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Mirko Topić · Norwich |
| 35' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Wrexham |
| 39' | ⚽ | Jack Stacey · Norwich |
| 47' | ⚽ | Josh Windass · Wrexham |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ryan Longman · Wrexham |
| 59' | ⚽ | Josh Windass · Wrexham |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lewis O'Brien · Wrexham |
| 74' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Wrexham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 50.00 | 1542.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1430.30 | 1650.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.68 | -56.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -0.57 | -1.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.19 | 2.42 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.61 |