← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Oliver Langford, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Coventry win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Coventry +0 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Jay Dasilva · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jake Bidwell · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 50.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.58 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1496.45 | 1522.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.42 | 14.61 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | 1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 66.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 2.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 10.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 1.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.25 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.20 | — |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| travel km | — | 30.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 0.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.62 | 2.27 |