← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 43% | 2.26 |
| West Brom win | 28% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| West Brom −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | David Strelec · Middlesbrough |
| 61' | ⚽ | Mamadou Kaly Sene · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aune Selland Heggebø · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1496.19 | 1482.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.22 | 18.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.31 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.59 |
| solidity v1 | 1.83 | 1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 25.59 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 235.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.19 |