← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| QPR win | 27% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.5 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Wrexham −0.5 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Conor Coady · QPR |
| 44' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · QPR |
| 67' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 75' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 82' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 9 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1535.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1676.24 | 1425.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.40 | 12.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| league points | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -1.62 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.74 | — |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.76 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 0.77 |