β EFL Championship 2025-26 Β· Sat, Sep 13, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Hull win | 21% | 4.52 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea β0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hull β0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | β½ | Ε½an Vipotnik Β· Swansea |
| 45' | β½ | Oliver McBurnie Β· Hull |
| 52' | π¨ | Josh Tymon Β· Swansea |
| 57' | β½ | Ronald Β· Swansea |
| 88' | π¨ | Charlie Hughes Β· Hull |
| 90' | β½ | John Egan Β· Hull |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 74.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1620.60 | 1560.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.43 | -16.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | β |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | β | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 0.70 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| travel km | β | 335.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.55 |