← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.29 |
| Norwich win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Norwich −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.57 |
| Under | 38% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Mathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich |
| 34' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
| 36' | 🟨 | Kellen Fisher · Norwich |
| 44' | 🟨 | Vladan Kovačević · Norwich |
| 53' | 🟨 | Pape Diallo · Norwich |
| 54' | 🟨 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 71' | 🟨 | Mirko Topić · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ante Crnac · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jakov Medić · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 316.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1526.70 | 1425.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.77 | 26.00 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.80 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | 0.87 |
| solidity v1 | 0.68 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 29.13 |
| state index | 0.79 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 190.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.93 | 1.85 |