← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
| Sheffield United win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ipswich −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich |
| 51' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mark McGuinness · Sheffield United |
| 61' | ⚽ | George Hirst · Ipswich |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich |
| 78' | ⚽ | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Japhet Tanganga · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 1381.00 | 651.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 9.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1411.90 | 1484.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.67 | -57.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 13.21 | 13.31 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| solidity v1 | 0.61 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 24.31 |
| state index | -1.01 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 229.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.43 |