← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 57% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Oxford win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.75 | 50% | 2.04 |
| Oxford +0.75 | 50% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 2.04 |
| Under | 49% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 19' | ⚽ | Will Lankshear · Oxford |
| 37' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 49' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
| 55' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 75' | ⚽ | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 88' | 🟨 | Victor Torp · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days |
| 29.00 |
| 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1435.04 | 1527.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.67 | 19.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 2.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | -0.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.95 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.61 |