← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Hull win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.5 | 51% | 1.99 |
| Hull −0.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 18' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Bristol City |
| 32' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 42' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Bristol City |
| 52' | 🟨 | Babajide David Akintola · Hull |
| 78' | ⚽ | Max Bird · Bristol City |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kyle Joseph · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 29 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days |
| 60.00 |
| 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1525.89 | 1407.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.33 | -15.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| league points | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | — |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.22 |
| solidity v1 | -0.76 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.11 |