← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 43% | 2.32 |
| Norwich win | 28% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Norwich −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟥 | Sean McLoughlin · Blackburn |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 52' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 81' | 🟨 | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1465.41 | 1406.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.14 | 9.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| league points | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 0.35 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 29.13 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 281.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.56 |