← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 38% | 2.52 |
| West Brom win | 34% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke +0 | 53% | 1.93 |
| West Brom +0 | 47% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Nathaniel Phillips · West Brom |
| 60' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
| 60' | 🟨 | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 70' | 🟨 | George Campbell · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 241.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1608.94 | 1647.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.43 | 24.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.82 |
| solidity v1 | -0.65 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 55.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.56 |