← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 44% | 2.29 |
| Sheffield United win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
| 25' | 🟨 | Andre Brooks · Sheffield United |
| 62' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 64' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 29.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1487.89 | 1493.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.63 | -35.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.89 |
| solidity v1 | 1.19 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 25.27 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 135.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.75 |