← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| Portsmouth win | 18% | 5.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Portsmouth −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | George Campbell · West Brom |
| 26' | ⚽ | Michael Johnston · West Brom |
| 43' | 🟨 | John Swift · Portsmouth |
| 56' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 63' | 🟨 | Regan Poole · Portsmouth |
| 66' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luke Le Roux · Portsmouth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Thomas Waddingham · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 22.00 |
| 965.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1488.23 | 1474.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.51 | 0.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.30 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.13 | — |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 200.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.93 |