← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 51% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 |
| Millwall win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.5 | 51% | 2.04 |
| Millwall −0.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over | 49% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Luke Cundle · Millwall |
| 41' | 🟨 | Massimo Luongo · Millwall |
| 59' | 🟨 | Camiel Neghli · Millwall |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 79' | 🟨 | Louie Barry · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 631.00 | 265.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1506.04 | 1471.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.36 | -1.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.92 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.70 | — |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -1.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.52 |