← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 |
| QPR win | 15% | 6.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −1.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Coventry −1.25 | 47% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 23' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry |
| 28' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jack Rudoni · Coventry |
| 37' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jack Rudoni · Coventry |
| 47' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 66' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 75' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 90' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 5 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 295.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1515.53 | 1415.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.32 | -19.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.45 |
| solidity v1 | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 135.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 0.51 |