← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Blackburn win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Hull −0.25 | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.73 |
| Over | 43% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 18' | ⚽ | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 37' | 🟨 | John Lundstram · Hull |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sidnei Tavares · Blackburn |
| 47' | ⚽ | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
| 50' | ⚽ | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟨 | Axel Henriksson · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 53.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1427.37 | 1445.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.54 | 12.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.79 |
| solidity v1 | 0.95 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.07 | — |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| travel km | — | 139.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 0.61 |