← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 41% | 2.50 |
| Charlton win | 30% | 3.68 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0.25 | 51% | 2.06 |
| Leicester +0.25 | 49% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.75 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 54' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jordan Ayew · Leicester |
| 68' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 569.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 4.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1647.50 | 1457.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.34 | 11.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 1.43 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 149.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 0.89 |