← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 38% | 2.66 |
| Sheffield United win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea +0 | 54% | 1.87 |
| Sheffield United +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ronald · Swansea |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United |
| 66' | ⚽ | Ronald · Swansea |
| 70' | 🟨 | Djibril Soumaré · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 46.00 | 624.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1597.08 | 1687.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.06 | -15.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.95 |
| solidity v1 | 0.61 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 24.28 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 254.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.84 |