← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 16, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Wrexham win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Wrexham +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 27' | 🟨 | Lewis Brunt · Wrexham |
| 42' | ⚽ | Lewis O'Brien · Wrexham |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
| 81' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1507.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1690.21 | 1471.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.60 | -14.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | 0.61 |
| solidity v1 | — | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.71 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.32 |