← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Blackburn win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Blackburn −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 47' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Phillips · West Brom |
| 49' | 🟨 | Karlan Grant · West Brom |
| 79' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟥 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.27 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1632.36 | 1604.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.32 | 55.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -0.64 |
| solidity v1 | 0.32 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 28.50 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| travel km | — | 140.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 0.82 |