← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.93 |
| Hull win | 20% | 4.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.75 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Hull −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | Milan van Ewijk · Coventry |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jay Dasilva · Coventry |
| 66' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carl Rushworth · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 281.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1654.06 | 1579.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.91 | -9.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.44 |
| solidity v1 | -0.26 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 162.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 0.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.30 |