← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 60% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.28 |
| Oxford win | 17% | 5.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Swansea −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.89 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Ji-sung Eom · Swansea |
| 40' | ⚽ | Greg Leigh · Oxford |
| 48' | 🟨 | Alex Matos · Oxford |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ronald · Swansea |
| 62' | ⚽ | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 82' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 90' | ⚽ | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 91.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1461.67 | 1455.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.37 | 1.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.20 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 60.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 36.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -1.79 |
| solidity v1 | 1.31 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.77 | — |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 0.76 |