← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| QPR win | 14% | 7.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −1.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Sunderland −1.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Nicolas Madsen · QPR |
| 29' | 🟨 | Dan Neil · Sunderland |
| 55' | 🟨 | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 56' | 🟨 | Rayan Kolli · QPR |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Frey · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 306.00 | 580.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1483.77 | 1413.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.51 | 11.28 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.53 |
| league points | 76.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.99 | — |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 386.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.63 | 1.07 |