← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 44% | 2.26 |
| Portsmouth win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Hull |
| 18' | ⚽ | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 44' | 🟨 | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 55' | ⚽ | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days |
| 853.00 |
| 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1480.82 | 1410.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.50 | -19.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 1.10 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 53.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 26.91 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 331.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 0.97 |