← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 76% | 1.26 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.50 |
| Plymouth win | 9% | 10.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds +1.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Plymouth +1.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Sam Byram · Plymouth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Muhamed Tijani · Plymouth |
| 53' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 84' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Plymouth |
| 85' | 🟨 | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 25 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days |
| 122.00 |
| 672.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1424.83 | 1660.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.60 | 34.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 1.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 69.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 97.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 87.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 28.60 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.31 | 2.06 |
| solidity v1 | -1.32 | 2.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.34 |
| state index | -0.19 | 1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.82 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.14 | 0.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 2.64 |