← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Attwell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Middlesbrough win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jack Rudoni · Coventry |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Coventry |
| 77' | 🟨 | Milan van Ewijk · Coventry |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ben Wilson · Coventry |
| 87' | ⚽ | Jack Rudoni · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 183.00 | 945.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1496.93 | 1457.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.42 | -21.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| league points | 66.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.59 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 237.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.28 |