← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Bristol City win | 12% | 8.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds −1.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Bristol City −1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Ao Tanaka · Leeds |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ao Tanaka · Leeds |
| 55' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 82' | ⚽ | Largie Ramazani · Leeds |
| 90' | ⚽ | Largie Ramazani · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 3 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days |
| 667.00 |
| 544.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1651.24 | 1518.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.86 | 1.30 |
| eye test v1 | 1.01 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.30 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| league points | 94.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.60 | 0.58 |
| solidity v1 | 1.65 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.55 | — |
| state index | 0.90 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.27 | 0.99 |