← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Oxford win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Oxford +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Tyler Goodrham · Oxford |
| 28' | 🟨 | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 29' | ⚽ | Benjamin Nelson · Oxford |
| 42' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
| 48' | ⚽ | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 64' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 146.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1440.71 | 1498.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.94 | -26.68 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 49.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.85 | -0.67 |
| solidity v1 | -0.09 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | — | 24.09 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.56 |