← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 |
| Norwich win | 19% | 5.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Middlesbrough −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Samuel Iling Junior · Middlesbrough |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jack Stacey · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Borja Sainz · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 938.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1461.25 | 1396.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.60 | -37.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.57 |
| league points | 63.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | 0.62 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 28.50 |
| state index | -0.00 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 1.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| travel km | — | 274.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 0.97 |