← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Watford win | 17% | 5.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Watford −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 24' | 🟨 | James Abankwah · Watford |
| 34' | 🟨 | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 44' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 45' | 🟨 | James Morris · Watford |
| 47' | ⚽ | Matthew Pollock · Watford |
| 59' | ⚽ | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mamadou Doumbia · Watford |
| 74' | ⚽ | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟨 | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adam Forshaw · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Dennis · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days |
| 84.00 |
| 421.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 4.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1447.27 | 1400.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.90 | -15.50 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| league points | 62.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 0.97 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.63 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 270.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.71 |