← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 40% | 2.39 |
| Coventry win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Luton −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟥 | Jay Dasilva · Coventry |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luis Binks · Coventry |
| 58' | 🟨 | Bradley Collins · Coventry |
| 65' | 🟨 | Liam Walsh · Luton |
| 68' | 🟥 | Liam Walsh · Luton |
| 69' | 🟨 | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Coventry |
| 84' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Coventry |
| 86' | 🟨 | Isaiah Jones · Luton |
| 86' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 90' | ⚽ | Shandon Baptiste · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 18 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 115.00 | 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1416.96 | 1507.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.55 | -8.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.57 |
| league points | 46.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 4.90 | 4.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | 0.69 |
| solidity v1 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | — |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.01 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 95.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.43 |