← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Sheffield United win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Burnley −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 28' | ⚽ | Josh Brownhill · Burnley |
| 37' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Sheffield United |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Josh Brownhill · Burnley |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jack Robinson · Sheffield United |
| 67' | 🟨 | Lucas Pires · Burnley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rhian Brewster · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Turf Moor |
| coach days | 294.00 | 507.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1643.95 | 1534.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.22 | -19.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.80 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 91.00 | 88.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| solidity v1 | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 68.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.36 |