← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Blackburn win | 28% | 3.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Sunderland −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 82' | 🟨 | Chris Rigg · Sunderland |
| 82' | 🟨 | Adam Forshaw · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 2 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| 294.00 |
| 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1512.48 | 1433.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.97 | 7.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 76.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | 0.54 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 23.68 | — |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| travel km | — | 149.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 0.71 |