← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 35% | 2.79 |
| QPR win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea +0 | 51% | 1.94 |
| QPR +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ (og) | Morgan Fox · Swansea |
| 40' | 🟨 | Harrison Ashby · QPR |
| 55' | ⚽ | Harry Darling · Swansea |
| 72' | ⚽ | Karamoko Dembélé · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| 568.00 |
| 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1435.44 | 1458.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.33 | 48.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.84 |
| league points | 53.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 256.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.46 |