← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Watford win | 21% | 4.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Watford −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 27' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Adil Aouchiche · Portsmouth |
| 53' | 🟨 | Pierre Dwomoh · Watford |
| 57' | 🟥 | Kévin Keben Biakolo · Watford |
| 64' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Portsmouth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Callum Lang · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matthew Pollock · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 841.00 | 416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 3.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1473.66 | 1406.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.63 | -11.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 49.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 26.63 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 105.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 0.97 |