← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
| Plymouth win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Coventry +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 40' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ryan Hardie · Plymouth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 65' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joel Latibeaudiere · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days |
| 110.00 |
| 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1394.69 | 1525.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.39 | -2.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.81 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| league points | 40.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 27.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.30 | 0.53 |
| solidity v1 | -0.71 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.76 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.89 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.29 |