← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 75% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.11 |
| Stoke win | 9% | 11.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds −1.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Stoke −1.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 8' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 17' | 🟨 | Ethan Ampadu · Leeds |
| 20' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 26' | ⚽ | Junior Firpo · Leeds |
| 41' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 59' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 5 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| 660.00 |
| 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1643.66 | 1438.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.49 | 38.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.50 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| league points | 91.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | -0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 96.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 1.21 |