← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Oxford win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Oxford −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
| 51' | 🟨 | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 56' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
| 59' | 🟨 | Alex Matos · Oxford |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sivert Mannsverk · Cardiff |
| 79' | ⚽ | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| 20.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1380.53 | 1440.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.63 | -10.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 42.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 35.20 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.98 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | -1.92 |
| solidity v1 | 0.42 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.24 | — |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 0.81 |