← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 71% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.27 |
| Oxford win | 11% | 9.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +1.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Leeds +1.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
| 42' | 🟨 | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
| 59' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
| 61' | 🟨 | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 62' | 🟨 | Ilia Gruev · Leeds |
| 84' | 🟨 | Stanley Mills · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jayden Bogle · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| 138.00 |
| 657.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1447.14 | 1637.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.15 | -4.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.65 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| league points | 48.00 | 88.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.73 | 0.98 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.38 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.85 |