← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 71% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.66 |
| Plymouth win | 12% | 8.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −1.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Middlesbrough −1.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 17' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julio Pleguezuelo · Plymouth |
| 52' | 🟨 | Conor Hazard · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟥 | Joe Edwards · Plymouth |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 19 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days |
| 930.00 |
| 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1463.97 | 1401.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.77 | -2.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| league points | 60.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 59.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 34.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -2.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | -1.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.94 |