← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Millwall win | 27% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Millwall −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
| 44' | ⚽ | Mihailo Ivanovic · Millwall |
| 45' | 🟨 | Wes Harding · Millwall |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 50' | ⚽ | Callum Brittain · Blackburn |
| 59' | ⚽ | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days |
| 76.00 |
| 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1415.17 | 1491.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.60 | 30.64 |
| eye test v1 | -1.28 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| league points | 56.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.75 |
| solidity v1 | 0.91 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.46 | 1.09 |