← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Watford win | 20% | 5.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| West Brom −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Karlan Grant · West Brom |
| 41' | 🟨 | Will Lankshear · West Brom |
| 41' | 🟨 | Matthew Pollock · Watford |
| 45' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
| 59' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 60' | ⚽ | Michael Johnston · West Brom |
| 65' | 🟨 | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 76' | ⚽ | Moussa Sissoko · Watford |
| 78' | 🟨 | Kyle Bartley · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 11.00 |
| 407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 3.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1479.31 | 1418.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.28 | 1.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| league points | 57.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.87 | 1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 27.10 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 143.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 0.95 |